Voter Registration & Turnout Data
Democrats are the largest registrant group (45.2 % of all voters), followed by unaffiliated/third‑party voters (32.8 %) and Republicans (22.1 %).
In actual turnout, Democrats still led (48.1 % of ballots cast) while Republicans punched above their registration share (32.1 %). Voters outside the two major parties turned out at a much lower rate (19.8 % vs 32.8 % registered).
Party | Registered | Registration % | Turnout % | Turnout vs Reg |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | 168,590 | 45.2% | 48.1% | +2.9% |
Republican | 82,430 | 22.1% | 32.1% | +10.0% |
Other | 122,391 | 32.8% | 19.8% | –13.0% |
Total | 373,409 | 100% | 100% | – |
Registration source: Political Data Inc. • Turnout source: San Diego County Registrar of Voters
Candidate Results
The following table presents the election results for each candidate, including their party affiliation and vote totals:
🔍 Looking for a deeper dive? View a more detailed breakdown of election results at San Diego Election Tracker.
Candidate | Votes Received | Percentage | Party |
---|---|---|---|
John McCann | 28,087 | 42.38% | R |
Paloma Aguirre | 21,424 | 32.33% | D |
Vivian Moreno | 8,934 | 13.48% | D |
Carolina Chavez | 5,128 | 7.74% | D |
Louis A. Fuentes | 1,053 | 1.59% | R |
Elizabeth Efird | 1,027 | 1.55% | D |
Lincoln Pickard | 619 | 0.93% | R |
Vote Totals by Party
While this was a non-partisan race and party affiliation did not appear on the ballot, the following table aggregates candidate vote totals based on their known party affiliation. This can serve as a helpful general indicator of whether voters in District 1 leaned more toward Democratic or Republican candidates overall.
Party | Percentage of Total Votes |
---|---|
Democratic | 55.10% |
Republican | 44.90% |
Total | 100% |
When aggregating votes by candidate party affiliation, Democratic candidates collectively received 55.10% of the total votes, while Republican candidates received 44.90%. This shows that while the top individual vote-getter was a Republican, Democratic candidates as a group received a majority of the votes cast in this election.
Neighborhood-Level Election Results
🔍 Tip: Click any column header in the table below to sort the data by that candidate's performance or neighborhood name. This makes it easy to compare who performed best in different areas.
Neighborhood | Carolina Chavez | Elizabeth Efird | John McCann | Lincoln Pickard | Louis A. Fuentes | Paloma Aguirre | Vivian Moreno | Total Votes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BALBOA PARK | 4.98% | 2.26% | 23.98% | 0.45% | 1.36% | 57.01% | 9.95% | 221 |
BONITA | 5.69% | 1.33% | 56.34% | 0.77% | 1.63% | 27.18% | 7.06% | 2336 |
CENTRE CITY | 7.90% | 3.95% | 31.89% | 1.65% | 2.67% | 39.94% | 12.00% | 2659 |
CHOLLAS PARK | 11.56% | 3.76% | 22.54% | 0.58% | 2.89% | 31.79% | 26.88% | 346 |
CHULA VISTA | 9.51% | 1.27% | 49.51% | 0.77% | 1.44% | 28.24% | 9.26% | 33543 |
GOLDEN HILL | 5.93% | 1.23% | 13.70% | 0.82% | 1.23% | 49.69% | 27.40% | 489 |
HARBOR | 5.52% | 1.40% | 25.48% | 0.70% | 2.21% | 40.92% | 23.77% | 997 |
IMPERIAL BEACH | 2.19% | 1.18% | 43.02% | 0.53% | 1.24% | 48.08% | 3.76% | 3380 |
LINCOLN ACRES | 7.07% | 1.09% | 30.98% | 2.17% | 3.26% | 40.22% | 15.22% | 184 |
NATIONAL CITY | 7.07% | 2.44% | 36.46% | 1.77% | 2.69% | 36.04% | 13.53% | 4131 |
NESTOR | 5.01% | 1.22% | 30.14% | 1.22% | 1.20% | 35.58% | 25.62% | 4410 |
OTAY | 5.32% | 1.25% | 32.87% | 1.18% | 1.00% | 27.09% | 31.30% | 2802 |
SAN YSIDRO | 6.81% | 1.33% | 30.24% | 0.94% | 1.89% | 28.77% | 30.03% | 3393 |
SE SAN DIEGO E | 10.69% | 2.92% | 18.90% | 0.22% | 2.14% | 36.78% | 28.35% | 889 |
SE SAN DIEGO W | 5.48% | 2.23% | 14.81% | 0.81% | 0.81% | 27.18% | 48.68% | 493 |
SOUTH PARK | 6.31% | 1.65% | 16.65% | 0.68% | 1.08% | 58.75% | 14.89% | 1760 |
SPRING VALLEY | 6.22% | 2.11% | 46.11% | 1.31% | 1.89% | 33.39% | 8.97% | 3600 |
SWEETWATER | 3.65% | 1.43% | 59.11% | 0.79% | 0.79% | 27.58% | 6.66% | 631 |
Neighborhood Winners
Below is a summary of which candidate received the highest percentage of votes in each neighborhood:
John McCann (7 neighborhoods)
- BONITA (56.34%)
- CHULA VISTA (49.51%)
- NATIONAL CITY (36.46%)
- OTAY (32.87%)
- SAN YSIDRO (30.24%)
- SPRING VALLEY (46.11%)
- SWEETWATER (59.11%)
Paloma Aguirre (8 neighborhoods)
- BALBOA PARK (57.01%)
- CENTRE CITY (39.94%)
- CHOLLAS PARK (31.79%)
- GOLDEN HILL (49.69%)
- HARBOR (40.92%)
- IMPERIAL BEACH (48.08%)
- LINCOLN ACRES (40.22%)
- SOUTH PARK (58.75%)
- NESTOR (35.58%)
- SE SAN DIEGO E (36.78%)
Vivian Moreno (1 neighborhood)
- SE SAN DIEGO W (48.68%)
Geographic Analysis:
John McCann performed strongest in the southern and eastern portions of the district, particularly in Chula Vista (his political base) and surrounding communities like Bonita and Sweetwater where he received over 55% of the vote.
Paloma Aguirre dominated in the western coastal areas including Imperial Beach, where she currently serves as Mayor, as well as the urban core neighborhoods like Balboa Park and South Park where she received over 55% of the vote.
Vivian Moreno's support was concentrated in Southeast San Diego West, where she was the top vote-getter with 48.68% of the vote. She also performed well in southern neighborhoods like San Ysidro and Otay where she placed second or third. These areas notably fall within her current San Diego City Council District 8, where she has served since 2018.
Chula Vista vs. Other Areas: Base Voter Analysis
The table below compares election results in Chula Vista (John McCann's political base) with all other areas in District 1 combined. This highlights geographic differences in voter support and reveals how candidates performed within and outside Chula Vista.
Candidate | Chula Vista | All Other Areas |
---|---|---|
John McCann | 49.51% | 35.07% |
Paloma Aguirre | 28.24% | 36.51% |
Vivian Moreno | 9.26% | 17.81% |
Carolina Chavez | 9.51% | 5.92% |
Louis A. Fuentes | 1.44% | 1.74% |
Elizabeth Efird | 1.27% | 1.84% |
Lincoln Pickard | 0.77% | 1.10% |
Note: Chula Vista accounted for 50.62% of all votes cast in this election (33,543 out of 66,264 total votes).
This table shows that John McCann received 49.51% of the vote in Chula Vista compared to 35.07% in other areas, a significant home field advantage of 14.44 percentage points. Conversely, both Paloma Aguirre and Vivian Moreno performed better outside of Chula Vista, with Moreno seeing the largest disparity (17.81% in other areas vs. 9.26% in Chula Vista).
Campaign Finance Data
The following table presents the campaign finance information for candidates in the San Diego County Supervisors District 1 special election primary:
Committee | Total Contributions through 3/22 | Total Expenditures through 3/22 | Additional Raised Since 3/22 |
---|---|---|---|
McCann for Supervisor 2025 | $231,292.25 | $98,775.46 | $31,800.00 |
Paloma Aguirre for Supervisor 2025 | $133,845.00 | $125,847.86 | $19,100.00 |
Vivian Moreno for Supervisor 2025 | $134,838.04 | $135,089.67 | $7,200.00 |
Carolina Chavez for Supervisor 2025 | $51,256.00 | $45,916.24 | $24,700.00 |
Committee to Elect Louis Fuentes | $9,189.54 | $6,130.72 | $0.00 |
The "Additional Raised Since 3/22" column represents only contributions of $1,000 or more that were required to be reported via Form 497 prior to the election. McCann reported an additional $31,800.00 in these large contributions after March 22, followed by Chavez with $24,700.00, Aguirre with $19,100.00, and Moreno with $7,200.00. No large contributions were reported for Fuentes during this period.
It's important to note that complete financial information for the period after March 22 through the April 8 election is not yet available, as those filings have not yet been due. The current data represents only a partial picture of the final campaign finance landscape.
Party Committee Spending (Member Communications)
Political parties can spend money on candidates in the form of "member communications," which are filed as contributions via Form 497. Below are the reported party committee expenditures for the top two candidates.
Note: Some Form 497 filings report monetary contributions from parties to candidates. These have been excluded here, as such contributions (up to $35,200 under county rules) are already included in the candidate committees’ total contributions (in the above table) and would otherwise be double-counted.
Source: San Diego County Democratic Party, Republican Party of San Diego County
San Diego County Democratic Party Spending on Paloma Aguirre
Date | Amount |
---|---|
4/2/25 | $2,205.00 |
4/2/25 | $1,500.00 |
4/2/25 | $22,746.48 |
3/28/25 | $23,490.00 |
3/19/25 | $12,500.00 |
3/19/25 | $4,000.00 |
3/12/25 | $8,668.21 |
3/12/25 | $8,374.96 |
3/12/25 | $12,500.00 |
3/11/25 | $26,000.00 |
2/24/25 | $51,856.44 |
Total | $173,841.09 |
San Diego County Republican Party Spending on John McCann
Date | Amount |
---|---|
3/31/25 | $16,658.00 |
3/27/25 | $1,303.66 |
3/26/25 | $16,903.00 |
3/24/25 | $1,706.00 |
3/24/25 | $11,385.00 |
3/20/25 | $1,334.00 |
3/17/25 | $4,000.00 |
3/11/25 | $2,700.00 |
3/11/25 | $5,525.62 |
3/11/25 | $4,807.00 |
3/6/25 | $6,578.00 |
2/27/25 | $4,493.18 |
2/26/25 | $5,000.00 |
2/11/25 | $1,000.00 |
Total | $83,393.46 |
Independent Expenditure Spending
Independent expenditures are payments for communications that expressly advocate for the election or defeat of a candidate without coordination with the candidate's campaign. The table below presents the independent expenditure spending in support of and opposition to each candidate in the District 1 Supervisor race:
Download raw itemized expenditure data (CSV)
Candidate | Opposition Spending | Support Spending | Net Impact |
---|---|---|---|
Vivian Moreno | $58,422.06 | $864,941.68 | +$806,519.62 |
Paloma Aguirre | $609,055.73 | $586,363.13 | –$22,692.60 |
John McCann | $31,812.19 | $457,060.11 | +$425,247.92 |
Carolina Chavez | – | $165,282.53 | +$165,282.53 |
Lincoln Pickard | – | $21,482.06 | +$21,482.06 |
Grand Total | $699,289.98 | $2,095,129.51 | $1,395,839.53 |
Independent Expenditure Spending by Entity
The following table details the independent expenditure spending by each committee or organization involved in the District 1 Supervisor race:
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
Working Families to Support Paloma Aguirre for Board of Supervisors 2025, sponsored by Service Employees International Union Local 221 | $543,142.20 |
San Diego Working Families Supporting Vivian Moreno for Supervisor 2025, Sponsored by Laborers International Union of North America, Local 89 | $551,123.50 |
San Diego Working Families Against Paloma Aguirre for Supervisor 2025, Sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America, Local 89 | $464,685.28 |
Citizens for a Better South Bay- in support of John McCann for Supervisor 2025 | $264,541.22 |
Community Voices | $260,049.89 |
San Diego Unity Supports Chavez Supervisor 2025 | $165,282.53 |
Protect Neighborhood Services Now, Sponsored by San Diego Municipal Employees Association | $155,031.50 |
National Association of REALTORS Fund | $116,132.89 |
Deputy Sheriffs' Association of San Diego County PAC | $59,899.00 |
San Diego Labor Coalition, Sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America Local 89 | $53,294.25 |
American Federation of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego and Grossmont - Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee on Political Education | $44,986.91 |
San Diego Labor Coalition Issues PAC, sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America Local 89 | $36,907.24 |
United Domestic Workers of America Action Fund | $34,708.62 |
California Working Families Party | $18,500.00 |
Citizens for a Better East County CBEC | $10,000.00 |
Protect our Quality of Life PAC | $6,487.00 |
Californians Against Hate PAC | $6,200.00 |
Courage California State PAC | $1,726.25 |
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 569 Candidate PAC | $1,721.21 |
Grand Total | $2,794,419.49 |
Entity Spending Overview
This data shows that labor unions and their sponsored committees played a significant role in independent expenditure activity during the District 1 Supervisor race. The top three spending entities were all labor-affiliated committees, accounting for approximately 56% of all independent expenditure spending.
The largest spender was the committee sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America (LIUNA) Local 89 supporting Vivian Moreno, which spent $551,123.50. This represents about 20% of all independent expenditure spending in the race. Close behind was the committee sponsored by Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Local 221 supporting Paloma Aguirre, which spent $543,142.20.
LIUNA Local 89 sponsored multiple committees that were active in the race, including the largest spender supporting Vivian Moreno ($551,123.50) and the third-largest spender opposing Paloma Aguirre ($464,685.28). In total, LIUNA Local 89-affiliated committees spent over $1.1 million across different efforts in this race.
Business and real estate interests were also represented among the top spenders, with "Citizens for a Better South Bay" supporting John McCann ($264,541.22) and the National Association of REALTORS Fund ($116,132.89) both appearing among the larger spending entities.
The data indicates that a relatively small number of entities conducted most of the independent expenditure activity, with the top five spenders accounting for approximately 74% of the total independent expenditure spending in the race.
Spending Over Time in Support of Candidates
The following chart shows the cumulative independent expenditure spending in support of each candidate over the course of the election campaign. This visualization helps to identify key periods of spending activity and compare the relative financial support each candidate received throughout the race.
Data source: Campaign finance disclosures filed with the San Diego County Registrar of Voters
Independent Expenditure Support by Candidate
The following tables break down the independent expenditure spending that supported each candidate, showing which entities contributed to their campaigns:
John McCann Support
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
Citizens for a Better South Bay- in support of John McCann for Supervisor 2025 | $264,541.22 |
National Association of REALTORS Fund | $116,132.89 |
Deputy Sheriffs' Association of San Diego County PAC | $59,899.00 |
Citizens for a Better East County CBEC | $10,000.00 |
Protect our Quality of Life PAC | $6,487.00 |
Grand Total | $457,060.11 |
Paloma Aguirre Support
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
Working Families to Support Paloma Aguirre for Board of Supervisors 2025, sponsored by Service Employees International Union Local 221 | $484,720.14 |
American Federation of Teachers Guild, Local 1931 San Diego and Grossmont - Cuyamaca Community Colleges Committee on Political Education | $44,986.91 |
United Domestic Workers of America Action Fund | $34,708.62 |
California Working Families Party | $18,500.00 |
Courage California State PAC | $1,726.25 |
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 569 Candidate PAC | $1,721.21 |
Grand Total | $586,363.13 |
Vivian Moreno Support
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
San Diego Working Families Supporting Vivian Moreno for Supervisor 2025, Sponsored by Laborers International Union of North America, Local 89 | $523,537.87 |
Community Voices | $186,372.31 |
Protect Neighborhood Services Now, Sponsored by San Diego Municipal Employees Association | $155,031.50 |
Grand Total | $864,941.68 |
Carolina Chavez Support
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
San Diego Unity Supports Chavez Supervisor 2025 | $165,282.53 |
Grand Total | $165,282.53 |
Lincoln Pickard Support
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
San Diego Labor Coalition, Sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America Local 89 | $21,482.06 |
Grand Total | $21,482.06 |
Support Funding Overview
These tables illustrate how supportive independent expenditure funding was distributed among the various candidates. Vivian Moreno received the highest amount of support funding at $864,941.68, primarily from labor union-affiliated committees. Paloma Aguirre received the second-highest amount at $586,363.13, with SEIU Local 221 providing the majority of her support funding.
John McCann's support funding of $457,060.11 came from a mix of business interests, the National Association of REALTORS, and public safety unions. Carolina Chavez received $165,282.53 in support funding, all from a single independent expenditure committee. Lincoln Pickard received $21,482.06 from a labor coalition sponsored by LIUNA Local 89.
The data reveals different patterns of support for each candidate, with Democratic candidates receiving most of their support from labor unions, while Republican candidate John McCann received support mainly from business groups and public safety unions. Interestingly, Republican candidate Lincoln Pickard received his support from a labor organization.
Opposition Spending Over Time
This chart tracks the cumulative independent expenditure spending in opposition to candidates throughout the campaign period.
Data source: Campaign finance disclosures filed with the San Diego County Registrar of Voters
Independent Expenditure Opposition by Candidate
The following tables break down the independent expenditure spending that opposed specific candidates, showing which entities funded opposition campaigns:
Paloma Aguirre Opposition
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
San Diego Working Families Against Paloma Aguirre for Supervisor 2025, Sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America, Local 89 | $464,685.28 |
Community Voices | $73,677.58 |
San Diego Labor Coalition Issues PAC, sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America Local 89 | $36,907.24 |
San Diego Working Families Supporting Vivian Moreno for Supervisor 2025, Sponsored by Laborers International Union of North America, Local 89 | $27,585.63 |
Californians Against Hate PAC | $6,200.00 |
Grand Total | $609,055.73 |
Vivian Moreno Opposition
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
Working Families to Support Paloma Aguirre for Board of Supervisors 2025, sponsored by Service Employees International Union Local 221 | $58,422.06 |
Grand Total | $58,422.06 |
John McCann Opposition
Entity | Amount |
---|---|
San Diego Labor Coalition, Sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America Local 89 | $31,812.19 |
Grand Total | $31,812.19 |
Opposition Funding Overview
The independent expenditure opposition funding in this race was heavily concentrated on Paloma Aguirre, who faced $609,055.73 in opposition spending. This represents approximately 87% of all opposition independent expenditures in the race. Nearly 87% of the opposition spending against Aguirre came from committees sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America (LIUNA) Local 89 and its affiliated organizations.
Vivian Moreno faced $58,422.06 in opposition spending, all from a committee sponsored by SEIU Local 221 that primarily supported Paloma Aguirre. John McCann received $31,812.19 in opposition spending, all from a single labor coalition sponsored by LIUNA Local 89.
It's notable that the opposition spending patterns mirror the support patterns, with labor organizations playing a key role in both supporting their preferred candidates and opposing others. The data shows that Paloma Aguirre was the most targeted candidate in terms of opposition spending, despite receiving substantial support from SEIU and other labor organizations.
Independent Expenditure by Communication Channel
The following table shows how independent expenditure spending was distributed across different communication channels. Similar items have been consolidated into broader categories for easier analysis:
Channel (consolidated) | Lines rolled‑in | Total | Percentage |
---|---|---|---|
Mailer, Mailers, Mailing, Direct Mail, Lit, Two Mailers | $1,595,573.42 | 57.1% | |
Digital Ads | Digital Ads, Digital Ad Program, Digital Ads and Production, Digital Letter | $323,089.46 | 11.6% |
Field | Canvass, Canvassing, Door Hangers, Doorhangers, Field Outreach, Field Program, Member to Member Canvassing, Printed Literature for Canvassing, Walk Program | $278,283.88 | 10.0% |
Phone / SMS | Live phone calls, Phone Calls & Text Messages, Text Messages, Texting, Text Calls, Texts and Calls, Phonebanking | $167,580.24 | 6.0% |
Mixed Media | Mailers, Online Ads, Website, and Text Messages, Media, Direct mail including related polling | $149,675.37 | 5.4% |
Consulting | Consulting, Consulting, Graphic Design, and Voter File | $74,069.80 | 2.7% |
Polling / Research | Poll, Polling, Polling & Research, Research | $70,400.00 | 2.5% |
Voter File / Data | Voter File, Voter File & Design, Voter File and Design, Field Program Voter File, Data and live calls | $50,210.42 | 1.8% |
Design | Graphic Design, Design, Mailer Design | $13,857.40 | 0.5% |
Web | Web, Website, Voter File, Design, and Website | $18,047.91 | 0.6% |
Video | Video Ad, Video Production | $15,149.00 | 0.5% |
Voter Guide Emails, Emails | $2,226.25 | 0.1% | |
Grand Total | — | $2,794,419.49 | 100% |
Note: Some expenditures may include bundled services across multiple channels. Items have been categorized based on their primary purpose where possible.